There are 2 basic facts about career violent criminals
career criminals, like those who collect protection money, need to victimize a large number of persons regularly, and cannot survive otherwise
A conviction rate of as low as 5%, or even 2%, is sufficient to weed out these criminals.
I will eloberate.
A career voilent criminal, perticularly those who collect protection money, work by threatening persons. To operate freely, the criminals need support from local MLAs, local policemen, local govt lawyers and local judges. A bigger criminal would need support from Ministers, senior policemen and senior judges as well. To obtain support, the criminal has to shell out thousands and lakhs rupees to EACH of these MLA/Minister, policemen, govt layers, private lawyers, judges EVERY MONTH. In addition, the ganglord needs to maintain a gang of several small criminals and need to pay them every month. The total monthly payments will run into lakhs and sometimes crores of rupees.
The ganglord gets this money by victimizing businessmen, shopkeepers, builders etc. But no single victim can pay such a huge money. So the ganglord victimizes 100s and 1000s of persons every months.
Low conviction rate is sufficient to wipe out career crimes
Now lets see how a conviction rate of just 5% or even 2% is sufficient to eliminate career criminals. Say a ganglord with a gang of 50-100 gangsters operates in 1-2 nearby cities or part of a large city. Say he needs to pay bribes of Rs 5-10 crore a month to MLAs, local policemen, local govt lawyers and local judges. Say he needs to spend Rs 1 cr additional on salaries of gangsters, their weapons/logistics and pay fees of his private lawyers. To that, he needs to add his personal target. So say he needs to collect Rs 7 to 12 cr a month, say Rs 10cr. Now a typical victim is say capable of paying only Rs 2000 to Rs 10000 a month, say Rs 5000 on an average. So he needs to victimize some 10000 to 50000 persons every month.
When a gangsters try to threaten so many persons every month, they will have indulge into 100s/1000s of threats and 10s of fights and may even end up hurting many persons. So it is quite likely that 10-30 persons will file complaint against them before policemen/judges every month. i.e. say 150-400 complaints every year. Now say conviction rate is just 5%. In such case, every 10-15 members of gang will land into prison for 3-7 years. With each gang member landing in prison, the other gangsters' morale will break, and they will start quitting gang. In a short span of a few months, the ganglord's gang will melt down.
In general, say a criminal comitts several crimes a year. Say chances that he will get caught and land in prison are low, mere p%. Then what is the probability that he will free even after comitting N crimes? The mathematical answer is [1-(1-p)^N]
So if chances of imprisonment is just 5%, then probability that he will be free after comitting 100 crimes is [1 - (1 - 0.05)^100] = 1%. i.e. chances are 99% that person will land in prison, even if chances of getting caught is just 5%. And even if chances of imprisonment are as low as 2%, the probability that he will be still free after comitting 100 crimes is mere 13%.
So a career criminal, who needs to comit 100s and 1000s of crimes every year will get wrecked even if conviction rate is low.
How is above "gyaan" useful?
What it means is that we dont need extra-ordinarily efficient and accurate courts, govt lawyers and policemen to solve the problem of career violent crimes. If policemen, govt lawyers and courts in India can catch and convict career criminal in just 5% of cases like beatings or killings, it will be sifficient to reduce career violent crimes in India to Western level.
Now the conviction rate in India is about 6% to 8%. Then how come we cant control the problem career crimes like protection money? The problem is --- this is the conviction rate for ALL crimes, career as well sponteneous. The conviction rate in career crimes is NOT even 0.1%. Why? The spontaneous criminals are often poor, and have no nexuses with judges, govt lawyers, policemen etc. Many times, the spontaneous criminal fails to hire a good private lawyer for himself. So he gets convicted. In most cases, the spontaneous criminals is also NOT capable of threatening witnesses and rigging the medical/foresnsic reports. While a career criminal is wealthy, and has nexuses with policemen, judges etc; and the career criminal even manages to hire a good private lawyer. He also manages to threaten/bribe witnesses and rig the medical/forensic reports. And so he manages to get himself acquited. Since the conviction for career criminal is so low, the career crimes, like collecting protection money, thrives in India.
Solution : what can citizens do to reduce career crimes in India?
Steps 1-3 : The citizens of India should force Panchayat Members, MLAs and MPs to following laws :
LM.01 ,
LM.02 ,
LM.03. These laws would enable citizens to take subsquent steps.
Step 4 : The citizens should pass laws to enact procedure CT.02. This law will create a Jury System in every district over policemen, which will create a nexusless way of supervising junior policemen, and thus create a check on policemen. This will reduce career crimes.
Step 5 : The citizens should pass laws to enact procedure CT.12. This procedure will enable the citizens to elect/recall district police chief.
Step 6 : The citizens should pass laws to enact procedure CT.11. This procedure will enable the citizens to elect/recall district public prosecutor.
Step 7 : The citizens of India should pass laws to enact
ID.01 procedure. This will enable the junior officers of India to index the crime data, and improve policemen's efficiency.
Step 8 : The citizens, using LM.01-03 should pass laws to decriminalize vics like drugs, liquor, gambling and prostitution. This will reduce oppurtunities for policemen to collect bribes, and would give them more time and resources to chase real criminals like murderers, theives etc
These TRIVIAL steps will redudce violent crimes in India to a level as low as in West.
If you have any questions, please mail it to MehtaRahulC@yahoo.com. Thousand thanks in advance.